Post by ~ / % ? * on Nov 29, 2020 17:32:56 GMT
Various experts are warning that it is possible North Korea may commit one or more provocations in the period before the January 20 presidential inauguration. There is a fairly broad consensus favoring U.S. deterrence of such provocations. North Korea's past post-election provocation patterns suggest that the United States might have days to weeks before the North's first provocations, and therefore the Biden team might consider actions to convince Kim Jong-un that provocations will hurt him.
Kim may especially want to gain the attention of new U.S. leaders and demonstrate his ability to influence them. According to a senior North Korean defector, “the Kim regime has been promoting domestically that President Trump has been frightened by Kim's power and has kneeled before the great leader Kim Jong-un.” Kim and his father and grandfather each tried to define themselves as the “gods” of North Korea who cannot be questioned and must be obeyed. But it may be hard for Kim to secure an image of greatness if Biden largely ignores North Korea, as Biden's transition team priorities apparently do.
www.rand.org/blog/2020/11/north-korea-seeking-influence-on-president-elect-biden.html?utm_campaign=&utm_content=1605706413&utm_medium=rand_social&utm_source=twitter
Kim may especially want to gain the attention of new U.S. leaders and demonstrate his ability to influence them. According to a senior North Korean defector, “the Kim regime has been promoting domestically that President Trump has been frightened by Kim's power and has kneeled before the great leader Kim Jong-un.” Kim and his father and grandfather each tried to define themselves as the “gods” of North Korea who cannot be questioned and must be obeyed. But it may be hard for Kim to secure an image of greatness if Biden largely ignores North Korea, as Biden's transition team priorities apparently do.
www.rand.org/blog/2020/11/north-korea-seeking-influence-on-president-elect-biden.html?utm_campaign=&utm_content=1605706413&utm_medium=rand_social&utm_source=twitter
